Showing posts with label bots. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bots. Show all posts

Friday, August 1, 2025

New Book to Guide Your Digital & AI Journeys

 Organizations face numerous opportunities and challenges in leveraging both maturing and emerging technologies. The authors of a new and exciting book believe that processes and customer journeys are a great place to innovate, leverage, and gain traction in thriving and capitalizing with AI for both planning processes ahead of time and depicting the behaviors and actions of AI in a process model. This new book demonstrates how processes can facilitate the creation, completion, and verification of desired outcomes. Please click here for a link to Amazon, where you can purchase a copy for your reference. 

Additional books of interest include:

Business Process Management: The Next Wave 

Digital Transformation: A Brief Guide for Game Changers




Tuesday, May 20, 2025

What are People Reading in 2025?

There was a shift in early 2025 to topics of tradition over the massive interest in AI exhibited in 2024. It's not that folks aren't following through with AI; they are combining and contrasting proven methods and tech, so show AI in the context of success. You can refer to 2024's hot topics by clicking here. 


There was also a shift in active countries other than the US and China. The northern European countries are typically well represented, but other than Norway, the mix is very different than usual.  



Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Preorder Practical Business Process Modeling and Analysis:

This book should be handy for those who want to master digital change with incremental business process management modeled for AI transformation. All authors have significant real-world experience and are thought leaders in digital processes and customer experiences. Click here to preorder 





Book Description

Every business transformation begins with a question: How can we do this better? Whether it’s eliminating inefficiencies, optimizing business operations, automating repetitive tasks, or reimagining entire workflows with the help of AI, success depends on understanding and optimizing business processes. However, with shifting market demands and evolving technologies, finding the right approach can be challenging.

This book dives into business process modelling, guiding you through frameworks, techniques, and tools that drive digital transformation. You'll learn to visualize complex workflows, establish scalable process architectures, and integrate automation for efficiency. With insights into BPMN and business value analysis, you'll discover how data-driven decisions can lead to smarter, more agile operations. Through real-world examples, you’ll see how leading organizations have optimized their processes and how you can apply the same principles while embarking on a digital change program.

By the end of this book, you’ll be able to design, analyze, and refine business processes for measurable impact. You'll master the synergy of technology, process, and strategy to build adaptable systems that drive sustainable growth in digital transformation.

What you will learn: 

Build scalable process architectures for long-term efficiency and adaptability.
Avoid common pitfalls in digital transformation and automation.
Apply real-world strategies and frameworks to optimize operations effectively.
Discover methods and tools to enhance business process analysis and decision-making.
Learn how BPMN can be extended for scenarios like process simulation and risk management.
Measure and maximize business value from process transformation efforts.

Who this book is for

Whether you're a business analyst, project manager, consultant, or strategist, you likely face challenges in streamlining workflows, optimizing processes, or integrating AI and automation. This book provides the tools, techniques, and frameworks to visualize, analyze, and improve business operations. Some familiarity with business processes and technology is helpful, but no prior expertise in BPMN or automation is required.

Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Top 5 Predictions for 2025




1. Change will dominate


Change is accelerating, and the environments in which businesses and individuals participate are changing. Complications and emergent complexity will increase, thus pushing situational analysis to the fore. While more information sources on trends and potential change are available, few businesses are taking advantage of dealing with change proactively. Those who make situational analysis a proficiency will make dealing with change a key to thriving in 2025 and beyond.

Read About Change:

Situational Analysis

Situation Analysis with SWOTS

Big Change and Peeps

2. Lack of Speed Kills

Organizations and individuals that can't keep up will be in for uncomfortable days ahead. Not only will proactivity be necessary, but the ability to adapt with the proper speed will become a cherished proficiency. Organizations need to see where they are in real-time and make decisions that follow expected and unexpected situations at all levels. Quickly taking the right actions is the most crucial ability for organizations and individuals. Bombardments from bad actors and impure data/information will complicate it.


Read About Speed:

Real-Time Awareness

Decisions, Decisions

On Point Actions


3. AI will be a Force Multiplier

Many facets of AI will gain momentum in 2025. AI will be essential to deliver productivity gains necessary to move the needle for GDP growth while reducing the hours worked for organizations and individuals. AI will unlock and multiply human potential in new and better ways. AI will be embedded in more and more interactions, processes, and applications in 2025. AI will act as agents to complete tasks for humans, enhance skills as humans complete their assignments, and give knowledge and advice in various domains and roles that humans participate in. It makes no difference if you are a consumer, employee, investor, or creator; AI will be there in emerging ways in 2025. Ethics will be tested in 2025 as some use AI in unexpected ways.

Read About AI Actions

AI for Good!

Fear of AI is Overcome

AI is Productive


4. Many Facets of AI

Many, but not all, facets of AI will make significant progress in 2025. Typically, flashy forms of AI catch the eye of the news and markets. In 2024, it was Generative AI, and in 2025, so far, it's Agentic AI. While markets tend to follow the flash, with AI, it's more than the flash. Past forms of AI will continue to build multiple baselines while the "AI du jour" will cast its temporary spells. AI will likely be used in combination with other digital technologies to find soft spots for increased productivity. It won’t be just automation; it will be assistance as well in 2025, leading to augmentation by AI and teamwork with AI.

Read About AI Types

Types of AI

AI More in Control

Automation & Assistance


5 Govern Now or Pay Later

While we all wait for governance and legal frameworks from the strategic and governmental levels, we need to do our job by setting proper goals and boundaries for AI. As AI emerges, setting up good goals and boundaries will be essential, along with auditing outcomes. Governance will lag until something bad happens at a local or global level. There will be goal and boundary conflicts until an overall framework is agreed upon and enforced, but I would settle for the framework for now. Enforcement will evolve slower than the framework initially.


Read About AI Governance

Goal Life Cycle

AI Needs for Governance Over Time

Key Technologies for Goal Management

















Monday, January 13, 2025

What Did Folks Read in 2024?

2024 was a year of AI discovery. The goal was to prove that AI could help businesses, so many proof-of-concept projects and pilots were conducted in organizations. The hope was that AI could enhance or accelerate the digital business movement. Most proof-of-concept projects proved valuable, so baking AI into digital business efforts became a reality for the future. As generative AI took the spotlight, there was a scurry in using AI to create content and code. This was a significant shift from 2023, when AI was nascent and emphasized digital processes. Customer Journey topics consistently fall behind AI and Digital in aggregate. 

                      2024 Twelve-Month Sinur Blog Activity




In 2024, countries other than the US and China focused on Northern Europe activity, where embracing new technologies occurs first. This trend has been consistent year after year since I first published my blog in 2013 and has been evident in well over a million hits. 

     2024 Activity by Country Other Than the US & China







Wednesday, November 6, 2024

Art for the 3rd Quarter 2024

 Gen AI created all of the art for the third quarter. I retrofitted my first album, Amazing Journey, with images to create art associated with each song. I did this for my second album, Ready or Not (click here), so it was time to equalize the whole music catalog. I expect to work on the Gen AI videos in the fourth quarter while new songs are in the hopper for 2025 to be released as singles if all goes well. While hand-created art will not be abandoned by me, I enjoy guiding AI to create images to match the themes of my songs. You can listen to my songs on popular streaming services right now. I'm up to 172K streams on Spotify and have qualified for "Discovery Mode" on Spotify for almost the whole catalog. Currently, my songs are on over a dozen playlists. I hope you like the music and the images. 

 


                                  Love and Acceptance


                                 Nobody Knows Me 


                                 I See Your Heart 


                                 Perfect Love


                                 Coming Up Sevens


                                 Siren Song 


                                 The Next Time I See You 

Monday, October 7, 2024

AI Productivity Scorecard

Organizations face challenges in this AI era, including justifying each AI-enhanced project, measuring the results' effectiveness, and determining where they are on their overall AI productivity journey. While the big picture regarding the productivity race is evident at the national level, we are participating in increasing productivity to create gains in wages, better corporate profits, and raising living standards. See the big productivity picture by clicking here.

Why an AI Productivity Scorecard?

Organizations must understand where they are in unlocking AI's full benefits and increasing optimal productivity. While each organization's AI journey is unique, knowing where organizations are regarding their full AI productivity potential is essential. The scorecard can act as a radar screen to show where organizations or individuals are in terms of full AI potential. Last year, I published a rough guide for AI progress that identified three significant eras for AI. Click here for the three major eras. While it is helpful to know where an organization utilizes AI, a more complete and multi-dimensional productivity scorecard is needed to score how AI is being leveraged for optimal AI productivity over time. See Figure 1 for the AI Productivity Scorecard.



Figure 1 AI Productivity Scorecard

AI Productivity Scorecard Explained

Ideally, an organization has pushed its productivity to the uttermost limits of possibility; in reality, today, few organizations have pushed the boundaries to optimal because of the investment in methods, skills, and techniques that will take time to mature and prove themselves to be very effective. Most organizations start small and grow to complete potential over time. The scorecard aims to measure the progress on the path to optimal productivity. The early AI efforts will start at the center of the radar screen (spider diagram) and move to the edges over time. The scoring from 1 to 5 will be a judgment based on the state of AI at a specific point in time. Remember that AI will grow and evolve; the target could be a moving goal line. To that end, I described what to look for on each scale (vector). While it isn't perfect, it will give business leaders a relative way to measure progress over time. Remember that the scorecard can be used to measure projects and efforts first. However, aggregate efforts can be overlaid for an overall score for an organization, be it a division of the entire enterprise.

Work Impacts Scale: (AKA productivity in work complexity)

AI is excellent at automating repetitive tasks, and there are lots of organizational opportunities to automate totally, assist humans, or collaborate with other AI components. See the Top 20 AI Technologies for 2024 by clicking here. The challenge is having AI agents/bots assist with or make decisions independently within guardrails of goals and boundaries. In an AI-heavy usage scenario, AI makes plans without human collaboration and acts on them with measurement later. It is essential for instantaneous and emergent situations.

Paradigm Impacts Scale: (AKA productivity in problem difficulty)

AI is excellent at optimization as it makes fewer mistakes than its human counterparts. This means that AI clearly sees creating more optimal outcomes while goals shift faster. It assumes that the data it consumes is reasonable, but AI can sometimes sense out-of-whack data. AI can suggest alternative approaches and enhance existing optimizations with new paths or alternative solutions. It involves the creativity of a team of generative AI and humans, initially leading to more AI-driven approaches. In some cases, AI can develop breakthrough views and approaches that can be implanted and optimized on the fly.

Context Impacts: (AKA productivity in scale increase)

AI can help with personal productivity by simplifying each task with more advanced research. However, thought needs to be given to the overall journey a person as a customer, employee, or partner is on towards individual goals that may need to be incorporated with team or organizational goals. Teams often have different skills that must be collaborated on one work impact (explained above). AI assists these teams in incorporating stovepipe skills into optimal team results. Organizations leverage individuals and teams that may or may not have conflicting goals to create the overall organizational goals. AI is great at seeing the big picture and tuning individual and team goals to dynamically support overall organizational and cross-legal entity goals.

Problem Impacts: (AKA productivity in change)

Problems known and static are easy for AI to help with, but AI shines where change is evolving the goals and governance targets. AI is built for change and thrives where things grow on trend lines. There are, however, situations that evolve beyond plans and anticipated scenarios. These are known as emergent problems, which used to be quite rare but are happening more and more. AI deals with changing dynamically and recognizes new scenarios that may require replan and adjustment.

Speed Impacts: (AKA productivity in acceleration)

When work is done regularly, it is much more apt to be automated in a normal and preprogrammed way. As business change velocities increase, AI plays a role in adapting to itself in new ways. In fact, AI agents and bots are great at sitting on the edge and acting instantaneously to dynamic optimization and governance goals. The faster the need for response, the more AI will likely play a key role.

I'd now like to demonstrate the use of scorecards through three examples. The first example is AI in automation. The second example is holistic and dynamic management with AI, and finally, the third example is emergent optimization.

Example 1: AI & Automation (see Figure 2 AI For Automation Scorecard)

Automation is the usual spot where organizations will apply AI successfully. In the scorecard, I depicted a typical AI automation project or program. Typically, these kinds of efforts are aimed at intelligent actions that focus on optimizing results with known problems at expected frequencies but range from personal to organizational impacts. A few example use cases include:

  • Smart Chatbots,
  • Straight Through Processing
  • Knowledge Assists
  • Recruiting
  • Quality Inspections and Control



Figure 2: AI for Automation Scorecard

Example 2: AI & Management (see Figure 3 AI for Management Scorecard)

Dynamic management at the speed of change while detecting evolving conditions and suggesting tactical or strategic decisions is where AI shines. While the scope can vary from organizational to individual, the example below is aimed at the organizational level. A few example use cases are:

  • Supply Chain Management
  • Management Cockpits
  • Production Line Management
  • Warehouse Management
  • Logistics and Delivery Management



Figure 3: AI for Management Scorecard

Example 3: AI & Service Team Deployment (See Figure 4 for Service Teams)

Infrastructure servicing is a problem that must be optimized and enhanced over time. Let's use an above-ground pipeline that spans thousands of miles over various terrains, where drones fly over to look for issues and deploy service teams to remote areas when a potential leak is sensed. The drone images will be scoured for known problems and analyzed for evolving conditions, considering local weather, material decomposition, and position norm contexts. Speenorms because of the safety and environmental concerns; however, false alarms are incredibly costly.


 

Figure 4: AI for Service Teams Scorecard

Net; Net:

Progress in AI adoption and resulting productivity needs to be measured, even though scientific precision might not be attainable. Though I have searched long and hard for a way to measure AI's progress, I am still looking for something useful. To that end, I have cobbled together something that will help individuals and organizations have a rough measurement of progress toward greater productivity with AI. I hope this helps others. However, comments for improvement will be appreciated.

Additional Reading:





Wednesday, May 29, 2024

AI: For Good or Evil?

AI has significant momentum now and contributes positively to businesses and everyday life. Today, industry and government leaders warn of the dangers of unbridled AI. So, let's peel back the onion on AI for Good and AI for Evil. Next, let's see what it takes to steer AI positively with as few side effects as possible. We all know all advancements come with good and bad effects. Look at the automobile, for instance. Autos take us to many places, but driving them unsafely without following the rules of the road leads to injury and even death.



AI Brings Good for Many Industries.

· Healthcare uses AI for preventive medicine, advanced diagnosis, personalized treatment plans, and drug discovery.

· Education uses AI for lifelong learning, adapting to changing career changes, shifting to new opportunities, and personal interests with virtual tutors and dynamic personalization.

· Transportation uses AI to optimize the planning and operation of smart cities, support various levels of autonomous vehicles, and optimize eco outcomes within the need for goal-directed efficiencies.

· Finance uses AI for investment management, wealth management, and fraud detection.

· Customer Service uses AI for hyper-personalization, sentiment analysis, and virtual assistants.

· Agriculture uses AI for sustainable farming by optimizing resource uses, automated or not, reducing waste, developing crops for climate change, and practicing sustainable soil management.

· Environmental Protection uses AI to design and implement effective climate change mitigation strategies, biodiversity monitoring, and resource management.

· Manufacturing uses AI in smart factories for optimization, efficient supply chains, and innovative material discovery.

· Entertainment uses AI for immersive experiences, innovative content creation, and audience engagement.

· Accessibility uses AI for inclusive design, enhanced communication across language barriers, and assistive technologies for the less capable.


AI Brings Good for Businesses

Businesses, in general, are using AI for enhanced decision-making in both a proactive and reactive manner. They are Improving the customer experience with AI while increasing their operational efficiency in a balanced fashion with AI. Marketing and sales are expanding their reach through better targeting and predictive forecasting. Businesses are creating new products and services with AI while better supporting their existing portfolio of products and services. AI helps with human resources with better engagement and automated recruitment. AI helps with fraud detection, compliance, and speedier governance. Businesses leverage AI for better expense management and investment strategies. Organizations can predict customer churn and measure customer sentiment in real time. Speaking of real-time, threat detection and vulnerability management can take advantage of AI. Businesses can increase their productivity, revenue, and costs while leading in sustainability through resource optimization and sustainability. Companies can take great advantage of various types of AI.

AI Brings Good for the Consumer

Consumers are experiencing many benefits of AI today, and AI is leading to even more benefits. Personalization provides tailored recommendations, customized voice/language engagement, and satisfaction with 24/7 availability and quick responses to overall needs, not just transactions. The shopping experience is improving with virtual try-ons and augmented/enhanced reality. Health assistants with links to telemedicine will help with preliminary notice of symptoms and diagnosis. Financial advice will be provided to optimize customer goals, both long and short-term. Recommendations for targets in the tsunami of content emerging to help the viewing/listening experiences. Home management and security will benefit from AI as well. Consumers will benefit from sustainability suggestions as well. Civic engagement, cultural preservation, and mental well-being are also benefits.

It's hard to argue that AI is not used for good and that the expectations for more AI benefits are sky-high. Yet, at the same time, some horror is dribbling from under AI. There are bad actors out there trying to do evil with AI. Without all the rules of the AI road laid out yet, there is an opportunity for these bad actors. Some individuals use AI to gain advantage, leverage, and illegal financial gain. Some use AI to subvert power, weaponizing AI for offensive purposes.

AI Enables Bad Actors

· An early evil use of AI is for cyberattacks that target critical infrastructure, financial systems, or government systems for monetary gain, espionage, or sabotage.

· AI can bring social engineering and manipulation by using social engineering techniques to manipulate individuals, influence public opinions, and spread misinformation for financial or ideological gains.

· AI can perform mass surveillance, tracking individual movements, communications, and activities without their knowledge. AI can infringe on privacy rights and civil liberties.

· AI can power autonomous weapons and other forms of lethal weapon systems without human intervention. Drones or robotic soldiers are examples of weapons that could act alone or swarm to escalate conflicts or undermine international stability and security.

· AI can be used by adversaries, including cybercriminals, state actors, and terrorist organizations, to create a movement against established society.

· AI can inadvertently exhibit unintended behaviors or consequences that manifest as errors, biases, or impacts on individuals, organizations, or society at large.

· AI can be harnessed to perform financial crimes and fraud toward individuals or organizations.

· AI can be used to create deepfakes and misinformation to gain financial advantage or take down the reputations of individuals or organizations.

· AI can affect biases and exacerbate inequalities by targeting individuals or groups to displace people from jobs or make it hard to thrive.

· In the worst-case scenario, AI could pose existential risks to humanity if misused or developed with inadequate safeguards.

AI Enables Power Plays

Geopolitical competition will drive rivalries among nations, pushing them to vie for dominance and try to leverage AI for innovation for economic gain and technological and military advantages. While not all this is bad, it can be taken to extremes, leading to new global pressure points and chess matches. Some of it could lead to arms proliferation and a new arms race. The amount of cyberwarfare and spying is bound to increase. The real risk is the need for clear regulations, guidelines, and treaties. There is likely to be a blurring of AI for military and civilian uses that will also muddy the mix. There is also a real danger of a supervillain or group leveraging AI to extort or unduly influence others.

Net; Net:

The fear of Evil AI will not drown out Good AI for now. The control of autonomous weapons, cyber warfare, aggressive intelligence, and psychological operations should be planned for the future. Establishing international regulations, norms, and treaties is the best way forward. Agreeing on what ethical AI development is and monitoring it with transparency. A move towards more “human-in-the-loop” for lethal actions is needed. Establishing robust oversight and governance and promoting peace and diplomacy with AI can work for us. The proactive measures of establishing robust international regulations, enforcing ethical guidelines, promoting transparency, and fostering a culture of peace and diplomacy can mitigate risks and bad behavior from bad actors. The alternative is mutually assured destruction, as we have with nuclear powers.

Additional Reading:

Definition of AI










Tuesday, May 7, 2024

When AI Goes Inside Out

AI is progressing well in many industries, assisting people or independently completing tasks. These uses of AI are often operational and can usually be embedded in business processes, software, or devices. We all, except for Luddites, expect the continued success of AI on focused tasks at the operational level. In fact, AI is progressing so well that it is catching up with humans for specific skills and combinations of skills (see Figure 1) from Stamford University below. It all sounds good, but the story could be different as AI ventures out to handle tactical management and executive strategy. AI will break out of processes and devices to combine various types of AI to assist and eventually automatically manage critical adjustments for businesses. It will happen as AI bootstraps success, leaving us with new challenges and driving us into AI fear zones. It is exciting and points to higher benefit levels for AI, but is this a Pandora’s Box?


Sample AI Operational Successes

· Automated Data Analysis: AI algorithms can analyze large volumes of data or content of various types to extract valuable insights and trends, enabling businesses to make data-driven decisions more efficiently.

· Process Automation: AI-powered robotic process automation (Smart RPA) can automate repetitive tasks such as data entry, invoice processing, and customer support inquiries, freeing up employees to focus on higher-value activities.

· Predictive Maintenance: AI can predict equipment failures by analyzing sensor data and historical maintenance records. It enables businesses to schedule maintenance proactively to minimize downtime.

· Dynamic Pricing: AI algorithms: AI algorithms can analyze market conditions, competitor pricing, and customer behavior to optimize pricing dynamically, maximizing revenue and profitability.

· Inventory Management: AI can optimize inventory levels by forecasting demand, identifying slow-moving items, automating replenishment processes, and reducing stockouts and excess inventory costs.

· Customer Service Enhancements: AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants can handle customer inquiries, provide personalized recommendations, and assist with problem-solving, improving the overall customer experience.

· Fraud Detection: AI algorithms can detect fraudulent activities, such as payment fraud, identity theft, and account takeover, by analyzing patterns and anomalies in transaction data, reducing losses and risk.


We all know that AI is progressing steadily towards an even brighter future for business applicability. AI is picking up skills fast and will equal human capabilities in any individual skill. See Figure 1 for a sample set of skills that AI is progressing.



                                            Figure 1 AI Skill Levels Over Time

This progress is impressive, and when combined with algorithms, goals, and boundaries, AI will go broader, deeper, more complicated, more complex, and more independent. AI will go from task to function while taking on tactics and strategy. Instead of just inside known and established processes, AI will break and challenge coordination and management tasks at the tactical level, eventually working its way into shaping strategy. Thereby putting AI in a position to respond to situations as AI deals well with emergence (complexity); this is an inside-out moment for AI that will start in the coming months and years. I expect the "inside out" trend to begin with processes, as AI can quickly move from tasks to management. The inside-out processes will likely start with monitoring, leading to notification and then to suggestions for action. Eventually, AI will take action with or without permission. 

The transition of AI from inside operational processes to outside processes typically involves the evolution of AI applications from narrow, task-specific implementations to broader, tactical, or strategic capabilities that impact various aspects of the business that cross traditional organizational boundaries. It includes the following:


· Scaling AI Across the Organization

· Integrating with Enterprise Systems

· Cross-Functional Collaboration

· Strategic Alignment and Executive Sponsorship

· Data Governance and Quality Assurance

· Continuous Learning and Improvement

· Partnerships and Ecosystem Collaboration

AI at the Tactical Level

At the tactical level, AI can contribute to essential cross-functional efforts and processes that require constant monitoring and adjustments that are tied to goals (static or emergent). Examples include:

· Customer Relationship Management: Besides the usual inquiry aid, AI can segment customers and proactively predict customer churn.

· Sales and Marketing: AI can drive better lead identification and suggest products/services to those leads. By analyzing activity, AI can target offers individually or with campaigns.

· Supply Chain Management: AI can forecast demand and market trends and tune logistics optimization dynamically while optimizing transportation costs.

· Operations and Manufacturing: AI can optimize production schedules, suggest improvements, and manage energy efficiency.

· Human Resources: AI can streamline recruitment and analyze employee performance for career development.

AI at the Strategic Level

At the strategic level, AI can contribute to the organization's executive level as it monitors the attainment of conflicting goals while maintaining profitability and reputation as a good community member locally and a great place to work while appealing for future investment. It is where emerging conditions must be monitored and intercepted and, where appropriate, changes. AI can start with being a sentinel, but bigger toles may be possible regarding the freedom to act independently. Examples include:

· Market Analysis and Competitive Intelligence: AI algorithms can analyze vast amounts of data from diverse resources to provide insights into market dynamics while identifying opportunities and threats from the competition.

· Forecasting and Planning: AI-powered predictive analytics can forecast future trends, demand patterns, and potential business outcomes, which might mean adjusting capital and resource allocation, inventory management, and production/service planning to optimize efficiency and reduce risk.

· Risk Management and Mitigation: AI can analyze various event patterns and data to identify potential risks and vulnerabilities, such as fraud, cybersecurity threats, and market fluctuations. It allows for proactive risk mitigation and safeguarded assets.

· Strategic Decisions: While AI might not make the decisions initially, AI-powered decision support systems can simulate various scenarios and the likelihood of them happening and have a plan of action. Whether it is a new market or investment, AI can help.

· Product and Service Innovation: AI technologies can be baked into offerings to create new products and services. Examples include computer vision, machine learning, voice-driven sentiment analysis, and intelligent service bots.

Net; Net:

AI will be going inside out and will have more influence on business outcomes at our organizations' operational, tactical, and strategic levels. The question is, what level of freedom will AI be given to act independently, especially if we get into an AI arms race in individual industries or between countries with very different value systems? It is inevitable unless AI has some overall meltdown. I have yet to see AI taking over from humans at the highest level of risk. The question for me is, "Will AI only be used for GOOD once it is given freedom, or Will it also be used for EVIL?" That is a topic for another day. AI will be used successfully as it has proven helpful in many use cases, with more coming. Will the winds of change rip the inside-out umbrella of AI out of our hands?

Monday, April 8, 2024

What Have People Been Reading in the 1st Quarter 2024?

 AI and Customer Journey topics will continue to gain momentum in 2024, and it is no surprise that AI topics are racing forward, led by Generative AI. What is surprising is the interest in the basics of Digital Transformation and Results-oriented Communications, aka goal-directed collaboration. There is the usual hunger for trends in business and technology in the new year as people orient themselves and recalibrate goals. There is consistent demand for Digitial Business Platforms (DBP). Another new trend is the re-emergence of old topics combined with AI, including Business Processes and RPA. There was quite a mixture of issues and a significant increase in reading momentum. Most of the increase comes from the U.S., Nordic Countries, and Asia.




Sunday, March 17, 2024

Operationalize AI Effectively with Processes

AI and processes go together very well, and the risk of trying AI in processes is pretty low, as process resources can all benefit from being more competent and reacting faster to changing conditions. AI is typically aimed at traditional/everyday processes. Still, organizations are also looking at more game-changing impacts related to new products where innovative business models can be trialed with processes and data. AI also aims to address emerging business changes that show new opportunities and threats. It’s not just pure automation and optimization, though there continue to be benefit pools there. Processes are often the basis of organizational actions that cross internal and external boundaries. These processes often employ resources that could benefit from AI’s assistance, especially where knowledge, decision-making, and agile optimization based on changing or emerging goals are required. I was asked to write a white paper on operationalizing AI in and around processes. This paper is available for free from a processes vendor called Agilepoint. 






There are a number of blog posts on AI here, as well as processes. here are some exciting posts on AI

AI Posts




Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Top 5 Technology Trends for 2024


Last week, I published the Top 5 Business Trends for 2024 (click here), and this week, I narrowed down several technology trends to my top 5 that organizations need to start responding to intensely in 2024.

Harnessing Usable AI

Most organizations will probably have some form of the many types of AI in progress. Progress could range from experimentation to production-enabled and active in several business and technology domains. Since organizations do not fear another AI Winter because of broad-based data-driven successes, they are looking to take advantage of various kinds of AI (click here for AI Tributaries and Types for 2024). Significant efforts in and around Natural Language Processing (NLP) will allow for human understanding and appropriate responses like generating human-like interfaces in chatbots and language translation services, for example. There will be more virtual assistants that will supercharge customers and employees to be more effective even beyond their inherent knowledge and skill levels. It will expand AI to voice, image, and video analysis to create a more inclusive context for decisions and actions for carbon-based participants and robotic assistants. There will be an emphasis on emotion recognition to deal with the human factors of doing business. This new capability and power will need to be protected, so intelligent cybersecurity will get a boost to detect and prevent threats leveraging AI. Expect organizations to use AI until governance issues become the focus.




Leveraging Intelligent Customer Experiences and Processes/Applications

Organizations will likely start switching from flow-directed approaches to goal-directed ones where the flow is based on the changing goals of a customer journey or process. Savvy organizations will include their goals with the goals of customers, partners, and employees in the goal-directed approaches and balance seemingly conflicting objectives in a balanced approach. Personalization will now consider goals and measure feedback through real-time observation and analysis. Of course, better user experiences and omni-channel experiences will continue as table stakes, but more will be demanded. User-centered design employing more gamification components will play a role as AI and algorithms will expand their reach to customers, employees, and partners to advance Customer Relationship Management (CRM). Human/ tech collaboration will get a fresh look, including new forms of augmented reality over time. Continuous improvement and aggressive automation will continue in times of stability; however, changing conditions may unhinge current optimization patterns. Intelligence will be used to adapt processes and user experiences more acceleratedly. Organizations will leverage predictive methods and more aggressive scenario management and monitoring. It will be a necessity with supply chain shifts and optimization particularly.

Moving to Convergent Business and Technology Platforms

While individual technology stacks bring benefits, costs, and challenges, organizations will eagerly watch for the convergence of focused functionality into platforms that more easily integrate technology functions to enable faster and cheaper business results. Desire will force broader technology options at a more affordable cost and potential mergers and buyouts. Convergence will create aggregated specialty platforms and generalized digital business platforms. The effect is fewer vendors to manage for organizations and more integrated business/technical functionality. Examples include generalized Digital Business Platforms (DBP), Business Application/Package Platforms, Sales/Customer Platforms, Process Platforms, Collaboration Platforms, Data Science/Analytic Platforms, Automation Platforms, Lowcode Platforms, Cloud Platforms, Data Mesh Platforms, and Security Platforms. For a quick overview of the players, click here. I expect AI platforms to emerge as success is experienced and integration becomes necessary.

Building on Intelligent Infrastructure

As all business-driven intelligence and agility become a competitive weapon, the need for intelligent infrastructure will emerge quickly. It means that the infrastructure players that leverage AI and analytics in either a reactive or proactive manner will flourish. It will create a race to intelligence under the covers of processes, systems, and applications. Edge computing and IoT integration are perfect examples of where putting intelligence at the edge or even outside of a business process will be necessary. First, it will be monitored soon after there will be recognition of the need for decisions close to the edge and intelligent actions to deal with the changing conditions. Eventually, AI-driven intelligent bots or agents will be brokering response patterns at the edge. Examples of success today would include Smart Cities infrastructure. Digital twins will flourish in intelligent infrastructure, leveraging clever hybrid and multi-cloud along with smart data meshes. All of this will require smart security that is blockchain-enabled. In the future, quantum computing exploration will keep a watchful eye on the swarms of agile AI bots responding to infrastructure and business needs.

Living with Governed Leverage with Sustainability

Like it or not, organizations will have to balance their business results with the trail of impact their business activities create. There will be the emergence of renewable energy integration where it makes sense. Recycling or recreation will be more emphasized in 2024, along with eco-friendly packaging solutions. Smart buildings that leverage AI for energy efficiency optimize energy consumption in many aspects of an organization's activities. Remote work will play a role in the delicate balance of progress and preservation. Technology will be essential in an organization's ability to measure, monitor, and reduce its carbon footprint over its complete operation as and its supply chain. Water management is becoming a vital resource to monitor and optimize, leveraging tech and advanced waste management technology and techniques.

Monday, February 19, 2024

Top 5 Business Trends for 2024

Adapting to Dynamic Business Conditions

The first trend is around businesses staying dynamically adaptive to change. Organizations must go beyond scenario planning exercises that sit on the shelf. While the planning exercises are proactive and sound, they also allow businesses to develop strategies for the various likely and unlikely scenarios. Savvy organizations will test the most likely scenarios, making an organization better prepared to adapt when change occurs. This means organizations must cultivate a culture of innovation that builds on leveraging agile methodologies and employee training/development. Cross-functional teams with individuals who embrace technologies by staying abreast of technological advancements will often develop solutions that support executive goals within alternative scenarios. Strategic partners will also help craft solutional alternatives, including backup partnerships. Remember that organizations are moving to real-time data/event-driven decisions that will adjust processes and applications. Careful planning will help legacy platforms and packages remain in a changing business environment. Managing change is essential in a world that is speeding up to new rates of change. This is not a "one-and-done" exercise, as adaptability is an ongoing process that needs regular reassessment.


 
Augmenting Your Customers

While most organizations think they are creating and refining user-friendly interfaces, the reality from the customer side is another thing. Customers find most interfaces are designed from the inside out, leveraging existing software and support teams. While multi-channel engagement and responsive customer service go a long way to helping the customer reach your organization's goals, the reality is that the customer journey is rarely just about your transactional efficiency when working with them. Think about how organizations had outsourced the keystrokes to the customer and the dumb chatbots they must deal with daily. To add insult to injury, the surveys are designed to get managers their rewards, not the customers' perspective. It's time to think "outside-in" from the customer's goals through the interaction with your organization and its legacy systems. This will give organizations new insights to personalize the experience, including smarter chatbots that recognize feedback in voice or visual cues to include sentiment, both positive and negative responses, in real-time with transparency. Let's assist our customers in their journeys, not just optimize costs for organizational goals based only on transactions your organization controls. Let's shift from reactive cost containment to proactive customer satisfaction and loyalty.

Augmenting Your Employees and Partners

Often, employees become the shock absorbers between your organization and other constituents. This means that they deal with the lack of integration across internal stovepipes that live with conflicting internal and external goals. What employees want is better job satisfaction, recognition/rewards, flexible work arrangements, and mostly career growth opportunities. They are driven by the need to keep up with ever-rising costs in their life situations. While some of these needs can be managed with a change in management tactics, employees need help. They need a better collaborative work environment with effective communication that helps them develop and learn to augment their career growth. Why not remove their "dirty work" with automation and let them become more knowledgeable workers through AI augmentation and reward-driven employee empowerment? Giving employees more autonomy and decision-making authority within their roles or across stovepipes with collaboration with others and AI bots is desirable. The best suggestions for continuous improvement will come from happy employees. All organizations need the table stakes of wellness programs, diversity, and workplace perks, but augmentation for advancement will be a key theme as we advance.

Managing Elusive and Shifting Costs

While the traditional methods of cost analysis, budgeting, expense monitoring, and control will still deliver savings for organizations, there are additional issues to consider. Negotiating with suppliers and partners to seek better deals, discounts, and more favorable payment terms is a great place to find incremental savings. Some big numbers in process optimization employ cost-reduction technologies that are now smarter than those of previous generations. Process mining and AI monitoring are good places to find nuggets of opportunity. Organizations may have to invest in technologies that streamline processes, automate repetitive tasks, and improve efficiency. It can lead to long-term cost savings and increased productivity. Cross-training and workforce optimization can help leverage existing employees or bots to handle various types of tasks and responsibilities. It creates excellent leverage and flexibility when experiencing peaks that typically require hiring additional staff. Telecommuting and remote work is a great cost-cutting trend for office costs. Ensure cost cutting is not arbitrary to meet numbers only to hurt long-term trends. Often, overzealous cost-cutting on minutia sometimes backfires with unexpected behaviors.

Providing Secure Digital Commerce

Ensuring secure digital commerce is crucial to protecting your business and customers from potential security threats. While customer education on best security practices, adherence to payment standards, and continuous fraud detection in real-time to mitigate suspicious activity leveraging machine learning are table stakes, there are additional efforts to take for organizations. Two-factor authentication is a must for user accounts. It adds a layer of security by requiring users to verify their identity. Regular backups of critical data combined with comprehensive data plans are essential in the event of a security incident. Encryption of all stored data protects data in case of a breach. Organizations are encouraged to choose secure hosting providers and cloud services that prioritize data security. Hosting environments should have robust security measures, including firewalls, intrusion, and detections. All your infrastructure and business software needs to be updated by patching and updating your systems. Regular software updates can close vulnerabilities and protect against known security threats. Above all, conduct regular security audits and vulnerability assessments of your e-commerce platform. Identify and address potential weaknesses in your systems to stay ahead of emerging threats. Remember that this is a war with bad actors.







Tuesday, January 9, 2024

What Have People Been Reading in 2023?

 Another year of posting blogs for me. Though the frequency of posting new blogs has gone down, the activity has been ramping up. The number of hits is north of 900K; I expect to hit nearly a million this year.  As you might guess, AI is getting a lot of attention as well as Customer Journeys. The surprises were previously popular topics, such as digital business platforms (DBP).  The one topic that shows maturity in applying digital is the interest in coping with legacy while progressing with digital and now AI. The interest in RPA tanked, and the interest in processes resurged. The topic of ransomware also came on strong as the vulnerabilities that more digital brings interest to the bad actors. There has been a shift in offshore interest to Asia and Northern Europe. It will be fun in 2024 to predict business and technical trends. I will take a shot at that in February. Meanwhile, here are a couple of graphs to help you see what happened last year and the last quarter. Enjoy. Click on the graphic if you want to see a bigger version. If there is a topic you think I should address, please post a comment or hit me up on LinkedIn. 







Tuesday, December 12, 2023

Generative AI with Art is Fun

 Recently, I've been working with Generative AI to create music videos for the songs on my upcoming album. You can expect my new music to roll out in the first quarter of 2024, and you will hear and see more about the new music soon. While working with Kaiber to help me deliver music videos, I thought it might be a nice experiment to take some of my art portfolios and make videos out of static 2D art. Here are the results of some of my recent experiments. They are pretty short, so I hope you take some time to enjoy them. To be honest, there were some failures, but most were successful. Enjoy !!





                                      Waves of Color 



                                      Lightning



                                    Color Reef



                                    Asteroid Field


                                     Color Wave 


Additional Generative AI Posts

Generative AI Momentum

Art and AI

AI Types


Monday, November 6, 2023

AI Tributaries & Types for 2024

While it is imperative to understand what AI is, where it is going, and where it offers promise and downsides, it is also essential to know all the technology tributaries. These tributaries offer strengths that can contribute to business outcomes, but they also have challenges in implementation and operation. I gathered the most common AI technologies, depicted in Figure 1, and briefly described where to use them and where to avoid or bolster use. Often, organizations combine several of these tributaries to accomplish their desired outcomes and keep them current in a more automatic way. Keep in mind these tributaries are maturing fast and independently today, so organizations will have to package a number of these to reach desired outcomes that are of a higher order. I am hoping this enumeration will assist in spending your 2024 AI budget. 



                                                           Figure 1 AI Tributaries

Logical

Machine Learning

Definition

Machine learning is the kind of AI that teaches computers to learn from experiences represented by data and information that does not rely on a predetermined equation or sets of rules. Machine algorithms adaptively improve their performance as the number of data samples increases, thus increasing the learning process.

When to Use

Use machine learning when you can't code rules, such as human tasks involving recognition where there are many variables with frequent change.

When Not to Use

When the data is problematic, including too much noise, too dirty, or grossly incomplete.

Deep Learning

Definition

Deep learning is a distinct/specialized form of machine learning that attempts to learn like humans by identifying objects and linking them to each other using a neural network, which is layered with interconnected nodes called neurons that work together to process and learn from data. It's a form of patterned learning.

When to Use

Use learning is used where there is a large amount of data available and there is a requirement for higher accuracy. Typically, deep learning learns from its mistakes and includes the lessons learned.

When Not to Use

Deep learning has a high computational cost that must be factored into solutions. There is, of course, a high dependence on the data quality. The scope of the data it is trained on may limit its ability to deal with unforeseen consequences.

Pattern Recognition/Perception

Definition

Pattern recognition is the automated recognition and regularities in data of various sorts. These patterns can be classified and leveraged to make decisions or predictions. New and emergent patterns can be detected for further analysis.

When to Use

Pattern recognition is critical in improving comprehension of the intricacies of complex problems. It is beneficial for recognizing objects in images, scanning, and photo-related interpretations.

When Not to Use

Again, the state of the data is critical, but dealing with significant variations in the data may disqualify pattern recognition as a solution.

Natural Language Processing (NLP)

Definition

NLP is a form of AI that allows computers to understand human language in any form and leverage it in a more seamless human-computer experience.

When to Use

NLP is a significant bridging mechanism between humans in their own language and computers. It is often used for computers to read text or hear speech to interpret and measure sentiment, helping to identify important words/phrases.

When Not to Use

NLP is not as helpful when a particular language is inconsistent or ambiguous, particularly regarding sarcasm and culture.

Real-time Universal Translation

Definition

Real-time Translation helps people translate one language to another instantly. People speaking differently can have a conversation or meeting in different languages with minimal delays or issues with accuracy.

When to Use

Universal translation is an essential tool for breaking down language barriers and facilitating cross-cultural communication.

When Not to Use

UT cannot correctly translate expressions, idioms, slang, abbreviations, or acronyms. Additionally, it cannot provide an accurate yet creative translation. Therefore, it should be used with caution.

Chatbots

Definition

A chatbot is a software application or web interface that aims to mimic human conversation through text or voice interactions. Chatbots that represent real-world interactions and incremental learning are the most effective.

When to Use

Chatbots are used in timely, always-on assistance for customers or employees. Often, they are helpful in social media, messaging, and phone calls.

When Not to Use

Chatbots are not helpful when addressing customer grievances as every individual is unique, and the problem could be complex over a more extended period than any one business event or transaction.

Real-time Emotion Analytics (EA)

Definition

Emotion analytics collects data and analyzes how a person communicates verbally and nonverbally to understand a person’s mood or attitude in the context of an interaction. EA provides insights into how a customer perceives a product or service.

When to Use

EA can help you improve the usability, engagement, and satisfaction of your users, as well as identify and address any pain points or frustrations.

When Not to Use


Like other forms of technology, emotional AI can display biases and inaccuracies. Consumers have to consent to being analyzed by emotional AI, which may present some privacy concerns.

Virtual Companions

Definition

A virtual companion is an embodied AI character that advances multiple forms of companionship. It includes not only the experience of togetherness with an AI character but can also augment the nurturing of companionship between people or animals.

When to Use

These interactive programs are accessible through the web or mobile, that serves as a companion or partner for therapy and mentorship. Early uses are about a boyfriend or girlfriend relationship, fulfilling some of the functions usually associated with these relationships, but also used for elderly care—emerging benefits around mentorship and collaboration in business.

When Not to Use

Be careful, as they can cause harm, such as hurting users emotionally or giving dangerous advice. Sometimes, perpetuating biases and problematic dynamics are a result of their use.

Expert Systems

Definition

Expert systems leverage AI to simulate the judgment and behavior of a human or an organization with expertise or experience in a particular field.

When to Use

Expert systems can be used standalone or to assist non-experts. It's helpful when skills are scarce locally, expensive, error-prone, and people are too slow.

When Not to Use

Expert systems do not leverage common sense and often lack creative or sensitive responses that humans can deliver. Often, expert systems lack explainability.

Generative AI

Definition

Generative AI refers to models or algorithms that create brand-new output, such as text, photos, videos, code, data, or 3D renderings, from the vast amounts of data they are trained on. The models 'generate' new content by referring to the data they have been trained on, making new predictions and output.

When to Use

Generative AI creates new and often original content, responses, designs, and synthetic data. It’s valuable in creative fields and novel problem-solving while generating new types of outputs.

When Not to Use

Generative AI can provide helpful outputs based on users' queries, but sometimes, the material generated can be offensive, inappropriate, or inaccurate. Human guidance can correct the result and put it into context.

Physical

Edge AI

Definition

Edge AI is all about putting intelligence closest to any device or edge computing environment. Edge AI allows computations to be done close to where the data is collected rather than at a centralized cloud computing facility or offsite data center.

When to Use

When speedy, always-on, and decisions are necessary, close to where data is sensed and collected.

When Not to Use

Edge AI devices may not all have the same level of encryption, authentication, and protection, therefore making them more vulnerable to cyberattacks. Scalability is also a challenge.

Sensing AI

Definition

Sensing AI is an AI awareness that is driven by one or many human-replicated sensing capabilities such as voice, vision, touch, taste, or smell. Sensing AI gives a presence in one or more physical contexts to present data to the logical side of AI.

When to Use


Any time in context computing will assist; any or all of these senses will give immediate and vital feedback to computing systems and humans. These are often used in dangerous environments.

When Not to Use

When Physical senses do not contribute to desired outcomes or where immediate feedback is unnecessary.

Autonomous Robotics (AR)

Definition

ARs are autonomous intelligent machines that can perform tasks and operate in environments independently without human intervention.

When to Use

Ars are great at automating manual or repetitive activities in corporate or industrial settings, but they also are great at working in unpredictable or hazardous environments.

When Not to Use

Robots only do what they are programmed to do and can't do more than expected unless some kind of learning AI powers them.

Next-Gen Cloud Robotics

Definition

Cloud robotics is the use of cloud computing, cloud storage, and other internet technologies in the field of robotics. One of the main advantages of cloud robotics is its ability to provide vast amounts of data to robotic devices without incorporating it directly via onboard memory.

When to Use

Cloud-based robot systems are capable of collaborative tasks. For example, a series of industrial robotic devices can process a custom order, manufacture the order, and deliver it all on its own—without human operators.

When Not to Use

Tasks that involve real-time execution require on-board processing. Cloud-based applications can get slow or unavailable due to high-latency responses or network hitch.

Robotic Personal Assistants

Definition

A robot personal assistant is an artificial intelligence that assists you with routine domestic chores and improves your quality of life.

When to Use

Today, these robots are used in specialized services such as cleaning.

When Not to Use

For tasks that require empathy or dynamic adaptability,

Management & Control

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)

Definition

AGI represents generalized human cognitive abilities on software that can solve an unfamiliar task.

When to Use

If realized, an AGI could learn to accomplish any intellectual task humans or animals can perform. Alternatively, AGI has been defined as an autonomous system that surpasses human capabilities in most economically valuable tasks.

When Not to Use

It is not here yet.

Digital Twin

Definition

A digital twin is the digital representation of a physical object, person, or process contextualized in a digital version of its environment. Digital twin links the logical side of AI and the physical side of AI in an artificial environment to visualize, simulate, and try actions without real consequences, ultimately promoting better decisions by humans or machines.

When to Use

Digital twin technology enables you to create higher-quality products, buildings, or even entire cities. By creating a simulation of a system or a physical object, designers can test different design scenarios, identify potential design flaws, and make improvements before construction begins.

When Not to Use

It is challenging to maintain a digital asset. Many digital twin efforts fail because the digital assets don't receive the same maintenance effort as the physical ones. The digital twin requires consistent upkeep, significant observation, and time to document all real-time changes.

Smart Self-Generating/Adaptive Applications, Processes and Journeys

Definition

Self-adaptive software systems can adjust their behavior in response to their perception of the environment and the system itself. Applications, processes, and journeys coordinate competent and not-so-smart resources and must constantly be tweaked to stay current with needs.

When to Use

When a system or process supports emerging conditions and desired outcomes.

When Not to Use


When the system or process exhibits long-term stability

Goal-Driven & Constraint Behavior

Definition

When Management goals change to reflect the latest thinking or emerging governance constraints, systems and processes seek these goals within governance boundaries.

When to Use

When volatility is a crucial consideration, or there is a robust environment of emergence

When Not to Use

When stability creates a Constance.

Cognitive Cybersecurity

Definition

Cognitive security is the interception between cognitive science and artificial intelligence techniques used to protect institutions against cyberattacks.

When to Use

When bad actors generate intelligent attacks

When Not to Use

It is not optional today and is part of the intelligent infrastructure

Net; Net:

It is essential to understand all the flavors of AI so that solutions can leverage AI where it makes sense in the current and future business environments. The AI tributaries will combine into solutions that will be more business or consumer-ready. Leading organizations will not wait long to take advantage of these tributaries and emerging combinations. Even the following organizations need to understand these tributaries to ask the right questions to vendors or internal developers. AI is shape-shifting, so let's stay on top of this emerging movement.

Additional Reading:

Definition of AI